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abstract indexed · arXiv 2610.18935 · updated 2026-10-18

Delay Complexity Dimension: Learning with Delayed and Censored Labels

First page of Delay Complexity Dimension: Learning with Delayed and Censored Labels
From the original paper · arXiv 2610.18935Page 1. Select the image to read the PDF.

This is a PAC learning-theoretic characterization of training with delayed and censored labels rather than a deployable method, so it replaces nothing in an existing inference or training stack; the adjacent practical artifacts are a quantization scheme and an expedition (label-expediting) policy that could supplement standard delayed-feedback pipelines such as conversion modeling. The cost of acting on it is engineering effort to integrate pseudo-labeling, quantization of delay information, or expedition policies into the data pipeline, plus dependence on assumptions (oracle pseudo-labels, instance-family-specific rates) that may not hold on real traffic. What can fail after adoption is that the achievable-rate question remains open where DCD and classical censored-ERM complexity separate, the labeler-diversity prediction failed empirically in a budget-matched test, and the window-beats-immediate-labels phenomenon is regime-dependent rather than universal.

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technical change
Sample complexity theory for delayed and censored labels
published
2026-10-13

The contribution is primarily theoretical sample-complexity analysis with only preliminary algorithmic artifacts, so it merits monitoring for teams with delayed-feedback problems (for example conversion prediction) but does not yet justify production adoption or small-scale testing effort.

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  1. claim 01Paperraft inference
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    This is a PAC learning-theoretic characterization of training with delayed and censored labels rather than a deployable method, so it replaces nothing in an existing inference or training stack; the adjacent practical artifacts are a quantization scheme and an expedition (label-expediting) policy that could supplement standard delayed-feedback pipelines such as conversion modeling. The cost of acting on it is engineering effort to integrate pseudo-labeling, quantization of delay information, or expedition policies into the data pipeline, plus dependence on assumptions (oracle pseudo-labels, instance-family-specific rates) that may not hold on real traffic. What can fail after adoption is that the achievable-rate question remains open where DCD and classical censored-ERM complexity separate, the labeler-diversity prediction failed empirically in a budget-matched test, and the window-beats-immediate-labels phenomenon is regime-dependent rather than universal.

    This is a Paperraft inference. It is not pinned to a verified PDF passage.

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  2. claim 02Paperraft inference

    The paper establishes a lower bound of Ω(DCD/ε²) samples matched up to constants and logarithmic factors by an oracle pseudo-label ERM, a (1-1/e) approximation guarantee for its expedition policy, and an empirical finding that a moderate observation window can strictly outperform immediate labels under a fixed collection horizon; no multiplicative production-performance factor is claimed, and the companion labeler-diversity prediction is reported as a negative result.

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Provisional research brief updated 2026-10-18. Paperraft has not reproduced this experiment.

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