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abstract indexed · arXiv 2609.18005 · updated 2026-10-18

A Calibrated Instrument for Measuring How Inference Optimizations Affect Output Quality

First page of A Calibrated Instrument for Measuring How Inference Optimizations Affect Output Quality
From the original paper · arXiv 2609.18005Page 1. Select the image to read the PDF.

The method replaces ad-hoc per-technique benchmark scores with a single calibrated LLM-as-judge protocol that validates itself against statistically identical runs and a provably null condition before comparing optimizations. It costs additional judged inference runs for calibration and null conditions, plus prompt-set curation per domain, and its resolution (about +/-0.3 points) limits detection of small degradations. It can fail if the judge drifts or is miscalibrated for a new domain, since perceived quality is strongly domain-dependent and model-specific, so magnitudes measured on one model do not transfer to another.

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  3. Run the baseline and the proposed change on identical inputs. Keep other settings fixed and repeat paired runs to expose variation.
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What to measure

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research area
agent evaluation
technical change
Calibrated LLM-judge instrument for optimization quality measurement
published
2026-09-16

For a constrained team choosing between quantization, early exit, and speculative decoding, this calibrated-judge protocol offers a low-cost, workload-specific way to verify that an optimization does not degrade output quality before shipping it, but it requires local validation to trust.

About the technical core

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Claims and evidence

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  1. claim 01Paperraft inference
    Read the brief interpretation

    The method replaces ad-hoc per-technique benchmark scores with a single calibrated LLM-as-judge protocol that validates itself against statistically identical runs and a provably null condition before comparing optimizations. It costs additional judged inference runs for calibration and null conditions, plus prompt-set curation per domain, and its resolution (about +/-0.3 points) limits detection of small degradations. It can fail if the judge drifts or is miscalibrated for a new domain, since perceived quality is strongly domain-dependent and model-specific, so magnitudes measured on one model do not transfer to another.

    This is a Paperraft inference. It is not pinned to a verified PDF passage.

    Inspect the source
  2. claim 02Paperraft inference

    4-bit quantization was indistinguishable from the 16-bit original within +/-0.3 judge points on English and Chinese prose; 3-bit cost 0.5-1.1 points depending on domain; early exit cost 0.7 points on prose but 2.5 on math (19/27 to 6/27 problems solved); identical quantizer cost 1.8 points on a Meta model versus 0.7 on an Alibaba model.

    This is a Paperraft inference. It is not pinned to a verified PDF passage.

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quality

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compute and memory

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latency

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operations

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software compatibility

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Does the implementation support your model, runtime, and hardware?

security

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data and training

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What data preparation or training is required, and is it included in the cost?

reproducibility

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What to inspect

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Plan a fair comparison

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Questions for adoption

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Inside the paper

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Provisional research brief updated 2026-10-18. Paperraft has not reproduced this experiment.

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