{
  "schema_version": 1,
  "builder_plan": {
    "scenario": "Start with one repeated product task that has a measurable failure or cost.",
    "change": "Read the methods and identify one change you can isolate in that workflow.",
    "baseline": "Your current implementation on the same held-out tasks.",
    "steps": [
      "Locate the paper's implementation and check its license, model support, data needs, and hardware requirements. Stop here if you cannot obtain the required artifacts.",
      "Save a small set of representative product tasks and expected outcomes. Keep evaluation tasks out of any training or tuning, and choose quality and cost limits before running.",
      "Run the baseline and the proposed change on identical inputs. Keep other settings fixed and repeat paired runs to expose variation.",
      "Save per-task outputs, failures, timings, and all usage costs. Review regressions before expanding the test."
    ],
    "measure": "Successful outcomes, response time, human rework, and total cost per successful task.",
    "decision": "Keep the change only if it meets your preselected quality and latency limits and improves the metric you care about after setup and operating costs. Otherwise retain the baseline. This is an exploration plan, not a validated recommendation."
  },
  "builder_review": null,
  "arxiv_id": "2608.27428",
  "title": "Stochastic Estimation of Transduced Language Models",
  "summary": "Replaces threshold pruning with beam summation, which yields a lower bound with unknown error, with reweighted sampling without replacement for unbiased prefix-probability estimates. It requires recursive sampling with inclusion probabilities and a transduced language-model architecture outside typical LLM API or open-model stacks. Its applications are computational psycholinguistics, bioinformatics, and formal language theory rather than everyday ML engineering on small GPUs.",
  "rationale": "A niche method for TLMs with finite-state transducers, outside small-scale inference, training, and agent workflows.",
  "technique": "Unbiased probability estimation for transduced language models",
  "family": "outro",
  "recommendation": "nao_aplica",
  "published": "2026-08-27",
  "as_of": "2026-10-18",
  "editorial_status": "indexed",
  "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.27428",
  "independent_implementations": 0,
  "total_implementations": 1,
  "stars": 1,
  "citations": 0,
  "claims": [
    {
      "claim_id": "claim-01",
      "statement": "Replaces threshold pruning with beam summation, which yields a lower bound with unknown error, with reweighted sampling without replacement for unbiased prefix-probability estimates. It requires recursive sampling with inclusion probabilities and a transduced language-model architecture outside typical LLM API or open-model stacks. Its applications are computational psycholinguistics, bioinformatics, and formal language theory rather than everyday ML engineering on small GPUs.",
      "basis": "inferred",
      "result": "",
      "baseline": "",
      "conditions": "",
      "source_url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.27428",
      "source_page": null,
      "source_excerpt": ""
    }
  ],
  "exposure_map": [
    {
      "dimension": "quality",
      "basis": "not_evaluated",
      "finding": "",
      "interpretation": "",
      "limitation": "",
      "next_check": "",
      "source_url": "",
      "source_page": null,
      "source_excerpt": ""
    },
    {
      "dimension": "compute",
      "basis": "not_evaluated",
      "finding": "",
      "interpretation": "",
      "limitation": "",
      "next_check": "",
      "source_url": "",
      "source_page": null,
      "source_excerpt": ""
    },
    {
      "dimension": "latency",
      "basis": "not_evaluated",
      "finding": "",
      "interpretation": "",
      "limitation": "",
      "next_check": "",
      "source_url": "",
      "source_page": null,
      "source_excerpt": ""
    },
    {
      "dimension": "operations",
      "basis": "not_evaluated",
      "finding": "",
      "interpretation": "",
      "limitation": "",
      "next_check": "",
      "source_url": "",
      "source_page": null,
      "source_excerpt": ""
    },
    {
      "dimension": "compatibility",
      "basis": "not_evaluated",
      "finding": "",
      "interpretation": "",
      "limitation": "",
      "next_check": "",
      "source_url": "",
      "source_page": null,
      "source_excerpt": ""
    },
    {
      "dimension": "security",
      "basis": "not_evaluated",
      "finding": "",
      "interpretation": "",
      "limitation": "",
      "next_check": "",
      "source_url": "",
      "source_page": null,
      "source_excerpt": ""
    },
    {
      "dimension": "data_and_training",
      "basis": "not_evaluated",
      "finding": "",
      "interpretation": "",
      "limitation": "",
      "next_check": "",
      "source_url": "",
      "source_page": null,
      "source_excerpt": ""
    },
    {
      "dimension": "reproducibility",
      "basis": "not_evaluated",
      "finding": "",
      "interpretation": "",
      "limitation": "",
      "next_check": "",
      "source_url": "",
      "source_page": null,
      "source_excerpt": ""
    }
  ],
  "risks": [],
  "minimum_test": [],
  "open_questions": [],
  "independent_tests": [],
  "lab_reproductions": [
    {
      "title": "Paper Raft study: transduced-lm-2026",
      "summary": "Five agents each implemented one estimator from the paper (beam summing, smc_simple, smc_rb, beam_swor, beam_swor_adaptive) and were graded against the claim the paper makes for it. All five pass: smc_simple, smc_rb and beam_swor are exact in the Appendix E worst case; the four unbiased estimators stay within 4 standard errors of the exact value over 128 seeds on a DNA bigram, with error falling as M grows; beam summing is a lower bound matching Fig. 1. The error ordering matches the paper's Table 2: beam_swor ≈ beam_swor_adaptive < smc_rb < smc_simple.",
      "limits": "Claims only, not Table 2's numbers: the paper does not name its DNA corpus or targets, so the bigram and three targets are stand-ins. The WikiText-2/PTB text and GPT-2 experiments are not covered. Remainder entries, the tail roulette for the beam estimators and beam_swor_adaptive's budget shrinking are never triggered by the graded runs.",
      "source_url": "https://lusknchars.github.io/paper-raft/#study/transduced-lm-2026",
      "checked_at": "2026-10-13",
      "methods_verified": 5,
      "methods_total": 5
    }
  ],
  "report_available": false,
  "validation_tier": "unknown",
  "evidence_tier": "unknown",
  "infrastructure_basis": "unknown",
  "equations": [],
  "equations_status": "not_formula",
  "core_kind": "algorithm",
  "equations_fetched_at": "2026-09-22",
  "equations_source_url": "",
  "equations_source_sha256": "",
  "exposures_reviewed_at": "",
  "exposures_source_sha256": ""
}